Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1.695283 1.934806 2.197767 2.508157 2.864887 3.262472 3.739803
2025-09-14 1.368162 1.685992 2.063774 2.547033 3.150459 3.881228 4.836647
2025-09-21 1.117454 1.468324 1.914132 2.524553 3.342535 4.406259 5.903397
2025-09-28 0.911181 1.264794 1.740511 2.431263 3.415405 4.777312 6.822545
2025-10-05 0.821058 1.197451 1.730646 2.547286 3.777802 5.580742 8.455582
2025-10-12 0.749984 1.143374 1.727120 2.665350 4.152825 6.448845 10.317049
2025-10-19 0.678373 1.076208 1.691739 2.725155 4.440998 7.218493 12.140206
2025-10-26 0.615538 1.012682 1.651091 2.766756 4.699824 7.969879 14.043371
2025-11-02 0.542491 0.922132 1.553767 2.698303 4.759535 8.389031 15.426266
2025-11-09 0.469290 0.821618 1.426369 2.558880 4.671653 8.530974 16.315513
2025-11-16 0.423901 0.763678 1.364784 2.527118 4.771436 9.021032 17.932404
2025-11-23 0.382572 0.707905 1.299987 2.479879 4.833210 9.443230 19.473684
2025-11-30 0.364148 0.693630 1.311979 2.585297 5.216565 10.566564 22.689172
2025-12-07 0.339735 0.665062 1.293608 2.628796 5.482454 11.494395 25.656868
2025-12-14 0.310871 0.624290 1.246495 2.607325 5.609429 12.149632 28.134397
2025-12-21 0.277997 0.571550 1.169095 2.511723 5.562020 12.417591 29.759100
2025-12-28 0.268871 0.566943 1.190280 2.632284 6.014358 13.877438 34.527298
2026-01-04 0.260345 0.562532 1.211182 2.754768 6.488981 15.462364 39.909238
2026-01-11 0.247509 0.547144 1.206226 2.816833 6.828481 16.774001 44.828579
2026-01-18 0.234351 0.529491 1.194054 2.859985 7.127577 18.031045 49.841988
2026-01-25 0.214607 0.494493 1.138128 2.789152 7.127358 18.518138 52.785807
2026-02-01 0.192186 0.450788 1.056967 2.644825 6.914874 18.410242 53.979139
2026-02-08 0.178706 0.427084 1.021132 2.611953 6.995970 19.114357 57.747773